image text translation
Donald Trump
Trump’s world order: election
win brings fears ofa
combustible US foreign DolicV
Military intervention should be avoided as much as possible.
Vance, for instance has argued: “From Iraq to
Afghanistan, from the financial crisis to the
Great Recession, from open borders
stagnant
wages_
the people who govern this country have
failed and failed again?
He went on:
Furthermore, they failed because
they bought into
theory of the world that
I forgot to put the interests of the US front and
centre. No longer. As Trump famously declared
back
In
2016 when he first won the White House
‘Americanism, not globalism
will now be our
Credo.
We have failed continuously from Iraq to Afghanistan.
America is not in the best interest of the world
Putting first priority on ripeness
A thousand people.
Although weapons support is provided, direct intervention by the U.S. military appears to have decreased.
Europe
juice
Peace through strength?
How Trump intervenes in the world now is a
matter
of debate within his circle of foreign
policy
specialists. Jeremy Shapiro from the
European Council on Foreign Relations has put
them into three tribes
the restrainers, who
want the US to do as little as
possible, the
prioritisers, who argue that distractions such as
Ukraine must be removed to focus on the Great
Power competition with China, and the
primacists, who insist the US must remain the
hegemonic power throughout the globe, and
ceding any status to the
powers
Brics
would be fatal.
They will take care of Ukraine’s loss and Europe’s affairs, and take the American power out of there.
Deployed to East Asia, near China, the biggest enemy.
The dream is Ijebu
business
Elbridge Colby says Trump will take a pragmatic approach
alliances
Photoaraph: Dominic Gwinn/Middle East
naqeslAFPIGetty
This assertion of peace through strength comes
with
price tag. She says
would require a
“build-uP of US military force not seen since the
last decade of the cold war”. That necessitates
prioritising, the key theme of the 2018 Trump
national security strategy in which Elbridge
Colby had
key role.
Colby insists Trump will not oppose alliances
per se but `
them as less values-driven and
more
private business partnership
in which
both sides aim to have their commercial self-
interest satisfied
If then partnerships become
inequitable; or the US feels it is being fleeced,
then they can be broken.
Colby’s argument: Aspiration is not possible based on value, but rather on a business basis based on mutual interests.
relationship.
When mutual interests coincide, a desire is established.
America’s dreams are America
If you think that there is an unequal relationship with
Hope can be broken at any time
Ukraine should be supported by Europe
By contrast,
lead candidate to be Trump
national security advisor; Richard O Brien
writing in Foreign Affairs, said he supported
Ukraine so
as Europe
more
something
it feels it is already doing.
He wrote: cTrump’s approach would be to
continue to provide lethal aid to Ukraine,
financed by European countries, while keeping
the door opens to diplomacy with Russia
and
keeping Moscow off balance with
degree of
unpredictability. He would also push Nato
To
rotate ground and air forces to Poland to
augment its capabilities closer to Russia’s border
and to make unmistakably clear that the alliance
will defend all its territory from foreign
aggression.
cIf Europe wants to show that it is serious about
defending Ukraine, it should admit the country
to the European Union immediately; waiving the
uSua
bureaucratic accession
protocol?
If you want to protect Ukraine like that, go to America.
Don’t ask for anything, just use European money.
Buy and support national weapons and have Ukraine join the European Union.
NATO is military
Seed even more
Europe
already pointing out that, as of June,
23 of Nato’s 32 members had met its target of
spending 2% of GDP on defense, twice as many
as four years ago. But Colby; who believes in the US
should focus its energy on China, says that
Europe
however indebted, will have
spend
still more In this narrow regard, he and
Emmanuel Macron think alike
Part of the problem is that the EU has
demonstrated its
unwillingness
conduct a
common foreign policy, as evidenced by its year-
long division over Palestine, divisions born of
national history
There is no time to worry about Europe, so NATO countries are spending more than 2% on GDP.
It has to be cheap. In fact, it is on European welfare.
In short, it means spending on national defense.
Ignorant support for Israel
Those divisions will allow Trump,
partnership
with Benjamin Netanyahu, to ignore the
resolutions of the UN, which both men hold in
contemDt
Netanyahu will have
Freer hand to
obliterate Hamas and form an Israeli-led
administration in Gaza
The sporadic US pressure on Israel to back
tWO
state solution, encouraged by Saudi Arabia, will
dissipate. Trump told Time magazine:
There
Was
time when
thought twO states could
work=
Ignoring the UN General Assembly
[Sraeli
America’s full support
US military
rising
view
long
paid
8. Ultra-hard sanctions on Iranimage text translation
Instead, O’Brien says, Iran and those who trade
with Iran will once again feel the heat of
maximum sanctions pressure, the policy
designed by Stephen Mull, now appointed to be
the head of Trump transition at the state
Department. Iran in turn will debate in its more
isolated circumstances whether the fatwa on
possessing nuclear weapons should be lifted.
But there will be a tension. Some in the
administration will return to Greater Israel
project. Others will want Saudi Arabia to normalize
relations with Israel a further extension of the
Abraham accords, Trump’s signature first-term
foreign policy achievement.
As it is said that third countries that trade with Iran are also subject to ultra-strong economic sanctions, Iran’s economic isolation is likely to increase.
becomes more visible
9.
china china china
Focus on China
All of this is for a single purpose
tofocus laser-
like on the
coming challenge of China, and what
Colby has referenced as “the cosmic role of the
dice”, the decision facing China on whether to
invade Taiwan. The sense that China is the pre-
eminent strategic threat shines through the
thinking of the entire Trump policy circle, many
of whom advocate the complete decoupling of
the two economies_
Beijing may have drawn comfort from Trump s
A recent proclamation that “Taiwan doesn’t give”
us
“anything”
even though the US, which he
liked to the mafia, gave them protection. But
Beijing knows that is not a green light.
And to minimize the U.S. military presence in Europe and the Middle East and to ensure that neighboring countries share their share of defense spending.
And the ultimate goal of increasing the size of the military is to respond to China.
Cumulative private sector investmentin
AL, 2013-2023
2013-2023
U.S.
$335.26
China
103
76
UK
22
3b
Israel
12
8b
Canada
10
6b
Germany
10
46
India
9b
France
8
36
South Korea
7. 3b
Singapore
6. 3b
Data: S8P Global; Chart: Axios Visuals
Amount of artificial intelligence investment by major countries over 10 years from 2013 to 2023: In effect, the US-China two-top system]
Whether or not we win the competition for hegemony with China will determine the fate of the United States.
Will the United States remain as the last hegemony in history before the AI era begins, or will it decline?
Because I think it will be a matter of judgment.
TREND (1980-2029)
Billions of US. dollars
40 thousand
30 thousand
20 thousand
10 thousand
2024
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
SELECTION (2024)
United States
29.17 thousand
China People’s Republic 18.27 thousand
Germany
4.71 thousand
Japan
4
07 thousand
united kingdom
3.59 thousand
France
3.17 thousand
Russian Federation
2.18 thousand
Republic of Korea
1.87 thousand
[USA, China, Germany, Japan, UK, France, Russia, Korea GDP]
In fact, other than China, there is no country that poses a threat of collapse to the United States.
Source: KOSPI Gallery
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